So, what's your take on tonight's event?

I'm giving you a pair of glasses, not the answer (whether to buy or not is your own judgment, I can't give it, nor will I):

First, don't be led by labels like "the largest IPO in history." Big scale doesn't mean it's worth chasing. In fact, a bunch of the hottest companies listing at high valuations can sometimes be a signal of a peak — insiders who know the company best choose to sell shares to the most enthusiastic outsiders at the peak of sentiment. This principle is worth remembering for a lifetime.

Second, when looking at a cyclical company's "cheapness," don't just look at the valuation number; ask where it is in the cycle. A valuation of 6x can be a golden opportunity at the start of a cycle, but a trap at the peak.

Third, tonight's listing is essentially a stress test by the market on whether "AI infrastructure is still viable." If it gets snapped up, it means money still firmly believes in AI infrastructure; if the reaction is lukewarm, or it even breaks its issue price, it means money is already highly hesitant about AI infrastructure. Regardless of the outcome, tonight will tell you whether the hype around this wave of AI infrastructure is still there or not.

$SK Hynix(SKHY.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Micron Tech(MU.US)

LongPort - 熊猫校长Ming
熊猫校长Ming

大家都在买英伟达,却很少人知道它靠谁赚钱

今晚(北京时间 7 月 10 日晚),美股会发生一件大事。一家韩国公司要在纳斯达克上市,一口气募资约 265 亿美元 —— 这是自 2014 年阿里巴巴以来,外国公司在美国最大的一次上市。但真正的看点,不是"最大"这两个字。真正的看点是:今晚上市的,不只是一家公司,而是 AI 时代最稀缺的那块"内存",第一次被搬进了美国资本的定价体系。如果你手里有英伟达、或者一直在追 AI 的票...

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