It's fine to be a bit greedy on the first day, just lower the cost and wait for the mean to revert. Going to sleep now $Space Exploration Tech(SPCX.US). Good night to all the friends still on Longbridge.

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Prize Contest | SpaceX officially lists today, in which price range will it close on its first day?

🎁 The largest IPO in history opens tonight with an issue price of $135, oversubscribed by over two times, with more than $150 billion in global funds rushing to get shares. Correctly guess the closing price range of SPCX today (Beijing Time, June 12th, 21:30–04:00 next day), and post your order screenshot or a one-sentence opinion in the comments, you'll have a chance to win 5 white SpaceX mugs! All users who guess the correct answer will be rewarded with 500 task coins!

🔥 Bullish case: Public float is only 4.3%, the lowest for a major IPO in history, with extremely limited supply but high demand; Roadshow has already attracted $150 billion in subscription orders, peak sentiment combined with scarce float makes significant first-day premium the norm; CRSP/FTSE index funds are set to make their first mandatory purchases this week, providing a floor in advance!

✊ Bearish case: Pre-IPO crypto derivatives have already fallen 27% from the May peak, first-day premium expectations have dropped sharply from 60% to about 16%; $1.75 trillion valuation is equivalent to 95% of Google's market cap, but annual revenue is less than one-tenth of Google's; IPO investors taking profits on the first day is standard practice, short-term selling pressure cannot be ignored!

Bulls are betting that scarce float + explosive sentiment will push the first-day premium higher, while bears are betting that institutional arbitrage selling will bring a quick pullback. Which range are you betting on?

$Space Exploration Tech(SPCX.US)$2倍做多SpaceX ETF-leverage shares(SPCH.US)$Tesla(TSLA.US)$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)$VG Total Stock(VTI.US)

今日收盘,SPCX落在哪个区间(美元/股)?

Single Choice

  • 低于 $135(破发)11%
  • $135-$160(溢价0-18%)18%
  • $160-$200(溢价18-48%)39%
  • 高于 $200(溢价48% )29%
2207 people votedVote Closed

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