
Many people initially look down on $Seagate Tech(STX.US): "It's already 2026, who still cares about hard drive stocks?"
But the issue is, in the AI era, besides computing power, what's most lacking is high-capacity storage. Seagate's logic this year is actually quite sound: cloud providers, data centers, AI training, and archiving are all piling on capacity, and it's perfectly positioned to benefit. The company's Q2 FY2026 revenue was $2.83 billion, Non-GAAP EPS $3.11, and gross margin also reached around 42%. Its cash flow is strong, and it continues to pay dividends, with a per-share dividend of $0.74. More interestingly, Seagate was still promoting Mozaic 4+ in early March, focusing on even higher-capacity hard drives. This kind of thing doesn't sound sexy, but it's very much like the "quiet money-making" route. However, it must be said, STX is no longer at rock-bottom prices.
So my view on it is simple: This isn't the kind of meme stock that makes you rich overnight; it's more like an institutional stock where 'performance is looking increasingly solid, and the valuation is getting increasingly expensive.'
Bulls will say AI storage demand is just beginning, don't underestimate the hard drive sector. Bears will say it's risen too sharply, a short-term pullback could happen anytime. The fundamentals are indeed solid, but chasing highs can easily teach you a lesson. It's suitable for putting on a watchlist, waiting for a pullback, waiting for the sentiment to cool down a bit before looking again—that's more comfortable than blindly jumping in. In short, the question for STX now isn't "can it rise?" but more like "after rising this much, can it continue to be supported by its performance?"
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