It's Thursday. Asian stock markets have jumped the gun early, and the US night market is teetering on the brink.

Getting led around by Trump every day, those front-running traders have probably made enough to cover military expenses.

If we don't launch a major island assault this weekend, how can we face us shareholders? 🥹🥹

LongPort - Fiin
Fiin

Currently, the fog of war is still very thick.

1. The US's fifteen points are basically the same as before the war, with the only addition being the opening of the Strait of Hormuz.

2. The Revolutionary Guards have already acted independently, repeatedly embarrassing the civilian government and the clerical establishment. Iran currently lacks a leader who can unify the opinions of all parties.

3. Both sides are currently negotiating through intermediaries. There may be information gaps in the messages conveyed by the intermediaries, and the Iranian personnel participating in the negotiations do not have absolute political advantage.

4. Vance, who has been out of the spotlight for a long time, may appear as the US peace negotiator.

5. Trump is currently actively negotiating while also actively preparing for war, somewhat reminiscent of Chiang Kai-shek's style.

6. The US and Israel currently intend to secure political advantages for their proxies.

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