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OptionsRecent observations on Polymarket regarding predictions for when Iran will cease hostilities and oil prices have revealed: predictions for Iran to cease hostilities have been brought forward, with increased betting on a ceasefire during today's US market hours. There are also predictions for oil prices to be lowered. These two factors are generally positively correlated. The rise in the US stock market (Nasdaq tech) today, combined with the above content, if not short-term noise, is truly promising.
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