$Amazon(AMZN.US)What you didn't understand is how terrifying Amazon's $200 billion capital expenditure this year is. Free cash flow turned from positive to negative directly. JP Morgan calculated that it might burn through $36 billion this year. This is no longer spending money; it's digging a hole for itself.

AWS's growth rate still looks okay, but the data center in the Middle East got smashed. Once the power is cut and a fire starts, all the customers have to flee. Plus, it's tied too tightly to Anthropic, and OpenAI just invested in another cloud. How long can your trump card stay strong?

The most ironic part is, the stock price has already fallen into a technical bear market, down more than 20% from its peak. Wall Street is still adjusting target prices, but the money has already run away. A company that burns cash, has service outages, and gets snubbed by clients—you tell me this valuation can still hold?