260222/Personal Views on the U.S. Supreme Court Ruling Tariffs Illegal

On Friday, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled Trump's tariffs illegal, and the Nasdaq index saw a moderate increase in volume. However, after the market closed, Trump signed an order to implement a global tariff increase of 10%. On Saturday, the global tariff increase was adjusted to 15%. The implementation date is 0224, with no buffer period, lasting for 150 days.

It was thought that the settled tariff issue had come to an end, but the new tariff order brings more uncertainty to the future. This uncertainty will cause concern for capital, as no one wants to blindly be bullish or bearish in an environment with unclear trends, which will trigger a risk-averse sentiment among funds. To hedge against risk, funds will either withdraw or use tools for risk hedging.

We divide bullish, hedging, holding firm, risk aversion, and bearish into five behavioral weights, each accounting for 20%. Thus, bullish is only 20%, hedging (which is flat) and holding firm together reach 40%, while risk aversion and bearish account for 40%.

Therefore, I personally believe that Monday is highly likely to see volatility and decline, and the impact may last until the 25th.

On Friday, I added $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) NVDA 260417 P 150 put options at 2.3, 2.2, and 2.19, lowering the original purchase cost of 3.3 to 2.37. If nothing unexpected happens, I can profit on Monday. After all, it still has over 50 days until expiration, with a high tolerance for error, and NVIDIA's price is currently at a wave high of 190. Slight fluctuations can lead to profits. It's still something to look forward to. The only drawback is NVIDIA's earnings report after the market close on the 25th, so this option should not be held beyond that day. If it weren't for this earnings report, I would be willing to wait for the stock price to settle around 180.

Here, I must mention that one advantage of not going all-in is the ability to increase the margin for error. Although profits may be affected, it allows for greater stability.

Profits must be sustainable, combined with specific opportunities for sudden wealth, to achieve unexpected results.

Many times, we choose the right direction but fail to persist until dawn. Not going all-in provides the greatest trump card to persist until dawn.

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