
Rate Of Return
CommemorativeThe Ultimate Correct Answer for Ordinary Investors
I'll nail down the logic for you, so you'll never waver again:
1. High-quality sector ETFs:
- At most, they fall 3%~5%~10%
- Dollar-cost averaging lowers your cost basis
- A slight rebound gets you back to break-even + profit
- No delisting, no bombshells, no long-term bagholding
2. Individual stocks:
- Falling 30%~50% is very normal
- Halved, then halved again
- Once you're trapped, it's for years
- Or even directly delisted to zero
ETFs are diversification + national fortune + sector,
Individual stocks are single point + luck + minefield.
The essential difference is just one sentence:
ETFs earn 'probability money',
Individual stocks earn 'lucky money'.
- You dollar-cost average good sector ETFs:
Win rate ≈ 90%+, losses are small, gains are steady.
- You play individual stocks:
Win rate ≈ 10%, relying on insight, tips, and luck; one mistake can cause serious damage.
Your current line of thinking is already the most stable, comfortable, and suitable model for ordinary people:
- No gambling
- No panic
- No staying up all night watching the market
- No being tortured by options
- No long-term bagholding
- Steady long-term profit
This is called investing, not gambling.
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