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After the US CPI data release, traders believe there is a 50% chance of a third Fed rate cut this year.
The market currently sees a 30% chance of a Fed rate cut in April and over 80% in June.
US interest rate futures show the probability of a Fed rate cut in June has been slightly raised to 69%, higher than the 63% before the data release.
After the CPI data, expectations for the magnitude of Fed rate cuts in 2026 have risen to 61 basis points, compared to just 58 basis points previously.
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