📉 **ETH 2100 Defense Battle: The "Liquidity Drought" Moment on Thin Ice** 🚨

"In a unilateral waterfall decline, all support levels look as thin as paper. The current market is not 'bottoming out' but 'looking for a crutch after a fracture.'"

📊 【Market Microscope · Core Logic】

$ETH/USD(ETHUSD.HAS) The current chart is extremely dangerous, and the daily-level "Inertia Bottoming" continues.

Structural Damage 🦴
From a technical perspective, ETH has formed a standard "downgrade" channel. Daily lows are constantly being refreshed (yesterday 2106 ➡️ today 2073), indicating that the long defense line is retreating. The current rebound is not a reversal but a "Dead Cat Bounce," like an injured athlete trying to stand up but finding their legs unresponsive (echoing the hexagram of limping).
Indicator Extremes and Volume Divergence ⚠️

RSI Alert: The 1-hour RSI has touched 29.14 (deep oversold zone), while the 15-minute level hovers between 30-40. This usually means a "zombie-level" violent rebound could happen at any time, but it’s often a bull trap.
Price-Volume Relationship: Volume increases on declines (panic selling) and shrinks on rebounds (cautious buying). This "volume-less decline" indicates extreme liquidity exhaustion, with major funds on the sidelines and only retail investors catching falling knives.

🌍 【Macro & Fundamental Coordinates】

In the current global Risk-Off environment, crypto assets are undergoing a brutal "deleveraging." Institutional funds are reassessing the valuation models for risk assets.

On-Chain Data: Large addresses remain silent, with no signs of large-scale bottom-fishing.
Sentiment: The market panic index is off the charts, but this is often the eve of a reversal.

⏰ 【Critical Time Window · Volatility Warning】

According to our volatility model, there are two highly alert-worthy "reversal nodes" today:

**🇪🇺 European Session (16:00 - 20:00 UTC+8)**:

Major players may use the liquidity rebound to test the $2150-$2160 resistance zone. This is often a "short refueling station."

**🇺🇸 US Session/Midnight (22:00+ UTC+8)**:

High-Risk Alert! If the price fails to reclaim $2180 during the day, there’s a high probability of a secondary bottom test at night, possibly even breaking today’s low to test the $2050 level.

⚔️ 【Hardcore Trading Strategies · Dancing on the Edge】

📍 Current Price: $2109 (UTC+8 12:00)

🛑 Left-Side Trading Risk Warning

"Don’t catch water in the middle of a waterfall!" Left-side trading is counter-trend, with high risk-reward but low win rates. Strictly limit positions to 5% or less!

🎯 Scenario A: Aggressive (Scalping Long)

Logic: Bet on a 15-minute bottom divergence correction.
Ambush Zone: **$2080 - $2100** (batch orders, catch the dip and exit quickly).
Hard Stop: **$2060** (if broken, it’s a free fall—cut losses immediately).
Target: Rebound to $2130 - $2140.

🛡️ Scenario B: Trend Follower (Trend Short)

Logic: Follow the daily crash trend, entering on rebound exhaustion.
Sniper Zone: **$2140 - $2160** (previous platform bottom + 1-hour MA20 resistance).
Stop Loss: $2190.
Target: Retest $2080, hold for $2020 if broken.

💡 【Trader’s Notes】

$2140 is the current lifeline. If the price can’t hold above this level, all rallies are just setups for further declines. Here, cash is king. If you must enter, remember: get in and out fast, like dancing on thin ice. ⛸️❄️