愤怒的果壳
2025.12.04 05:22

On the bright side, Li Auto has a corporate vision of AI serving users, but the question is whether its own MindGPT can take on this responsibility.

LongPort - 未来的交易员皮看穿
未来的交易员皮看穿

I never understood Li Auto. In the early days, the extended-range + fridge, TV, and large seats were insights into user needs, but the barrier wasn't high, and they didn't leverage their advantage to quickly develop a second growth curve.

By the time their core business was eroded and performance declined, they realized they had nothing but cash. I truly don't get the strategic significance of these glasses—the product strength isn't beyond expectations either. Might as well go with Quark.

Current Li Auto is just like Baidu entering the AI era.

Nio did dabble in phones and VR glasses back when it had a $150B market cap, but it was also focused on improving the car experience.

Now Nio has become more pragmatic, focusing on building, selling cars, and setting up battery swap stations. Yet people think it's actually because they're broke. The current market cap not only prices in Q4's inability to turn a profit but also prices in bankruptcy next year.

Nio's intrinsic value is at least $20B,对应股价 8 刀对应股价$8, but breaking through further will be tough—it needs a new narrative. So hitting $8 is easy, but going beyond is hard.

(Personal opinion, not meant to criticize—not investment advice.)

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