Interpretation of U.S. Stock Opportunities

Let's talk about UPST first. SHOP's earnings report is very good, and it's going to take off tonight. Hold tight:

In my analysis video the day before yesterday, I told everyone to hold on. Many stocks' CD indicators suggested buying the dip, especially $Upstart(UPST.US) UPST. After breaking the blue ladder earlier, it's time to buy back:

(The words "buy the dip" in the image above are automatically displayed by the CD indicator.)

Take a look at $Shopify (SHOP.US) SHOP. At first glance, you might think their trends are identical:

For these kinds of stocks, just follow what I said: the blue ladder will soon break through the yellow ladder. As long as the blue ladder stays above the yellow ladder, keep holding.

Now, let's talk about $Meta Platforms(META.US) META. When META was falling earlier, many people said to sell everything, but I disagreed. What was our agreement? Don’t sell unless the candlestick closing price breaks below the lower edge of the blue ladder. Has it broken? In my analysis videos over the past year, I’ve said this at least 100 times:

(The "sell" and "buy the dip" labels in the image above are part of the CD indicator.)

We won’t sell unless it breaks. Stop paying so much attention to the news—like how Trump is going to arrest Zuckerberg if he gets elected.

Now, let’s talk about the big boss, NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA.US). The title of my analysis video last night was "If You Didn’t Listen to Me on Monday, You’ll Regret It So Much You’ll Slap Your Thigh." I said, if you sold NVIDIA at 90, would you buy it back at 95? You’d be in agony—and now that pain has arrived.

From now on, we won’t sell unless the 30-minute candlestick breaks below the lower edge of the blue ladder. As for chip stocks, SMCI’s earnings missed expectations—stay away. Wait for new opportunities.

For Tesla $Tesla(TSLA.US), the one-hour level has already signaled a buy-the-dip opportunity. If the 30-minute level also signals one, matching the earlier sell signal, it’ll be a great opportunity. I’ll cover this in detail in my analysis video after the market opens. This is a big opportunity.

Lately, I’ve been studying the Fed’s stance. The recent aggressive repricing in the money markets (expecting 125 basis points of rate cuts this year, which eased slightly on Tuesday) is an overreaction and doesn’t reflect fundamentals. Jefferies Group expects the Fed won’t cut rates by 50 basis points in September, nor will it cut by 100 basis points or more this year. "Despite the aggressive moves, we don’t think the fundamentals have changed much." Jefferies expects money market pricing to be dialed back. This is a key point—all trading strategies should factor this in.

If you want to hedge, $Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF(SQQQ.US) SQQQ and $Direxion Semicon Bear 3X(SOXS.US) SOXS could be call options if they form a bottom structure. Also, U.S. Treasuries present a big opportunity—$iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd(TLT.US) TLT and $Direxion 20+Yr Trsry Bull 3X(TMF.US) TMF. If they form a bottom structure, consider allocating 10% of your portfolio to them.

Alright, that’s all for today. Wishing all Longbridge community members profitable trades.