$TRIP.COM-S(09961.HK)

Will Trip.com Surge Once The Probe Ends 🤔?

Trip.com shares have taken a hit lately, weighed down by China’s ongoing SAMR antitrust investigation.

But history shows: even hefty fines often spark big rebounds once uncertainty clears. Here is what we learned from Alibaba and Meituan’s 2021 cases:

💡 3 Key Lessons From The Past

✅ Uncertainty hurts more than bad news

Stocks get punished hardest while probes are open. When Alibaba and Meituan were fined, both jumped 5–10% on day one and 10–20% within weeks. Putting a number on the penalty removes the “worst-case” fear.

✅ Immediate relief rally is likely

Short sellers will cover positions, and waiting institutional money will jump in and drive an initial jump once the decision is official.

✅ Long-term growth depends on rules and not fines

A fine is just a one off cost. What really matters: will regulators limit its core business (like capping hotel commissions or changing algorithms)?

📊 Full side-by-side comparison in the infographic above!

Put simply: The Chinese government doesn’t want Trip.com to crash and bankrupt. Chinese government needs trip.com to promote China. What do you think? Let’s discuss😁.

Not financial advice. Please do your own DD☺️