#BTC 1. If the war continues to escalate, oil prices will surge, inflation will rise accordingly, the Fed's rate cuts will be delayed, and it's highly likely that the current interest rates will be maintained. Most importantly, the US dollar will strengthen in the short term, increasing pressure on BTC in the short to medium term. With Trump's pressure, the risks in the Middle East are rising, and BTC is highly likely to experience sharp upward spikes and sudden downward plunges, leading to two-way liquidations. Therefore, the short-term movement ahead is not the trend; be extremely cautious. In the short term, BTC is likely to drop to around 62K.

2. In the short term, considering the current war situation, the possibility of conflict escalation is very high. Just now, former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was attacked and killed. Ahmadinejad is known externally as a hardliner and an anti-American fighter. His death will directly lead to a significant increase in Iran's retaliatory efforts against the US and Israel, which will exacerbate volatility for BTC, causing it to swing back and forth and shake up contracts. At that time, more people will face liquidation, with prices fluctuating between 65K and 70K.