二十年後巴菲特重回亞太市場,看上了什麼?

華爾街見聞
2023.04.13 13:48
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Warren Buffett, aged 92, recently visited Japan and responded to hot topics such as the US banking crisis and investment in Japan. He stated that the banking crisis has not yet passed, but depositors will not face a crisis. He also mentioned that selling bank stocks is not a negative view of the industry, but rather a cooling of sentiment towards the sector. He still favors Bank of America. Buffett intends to increase his investment in Japanese stocks and has already increased his stake in the five major trading companies to 7.4%, the largest investment by Berkshire Hathaway outside the US, planning to hold these investments for 10-20 years. Although Berkshire Hathaway significantly reduced its holdings in TSMC in the fourth quarter of last year, he still believes it is a company that creates overwhelming profits in the semiconductor industry with good operational status. Buffett has repeatedly stated at shareholder meetings that he lacks good investment opportunities, and Berkshire Hathaway has large amounts of cash on its balance sheet, which may make the soaring US stock market too expensive for him. Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio has also changed actively over the years – by the end of 2019, the market capitalization of the financial industry in its portfolio still ranked first, but with the further expansion of the market capitalization of the technology sector, especially its top holding, Apple, the proportion of technology holdings has reached 45% in 2022, surpassing financials (27%), and followed by the consumer sector (12%). It is also worth noting that since last year, Buffett has continuously increased his bets on Western Oil, which has significantly increased the proportion of energy stocks in the overall portfolio. Since there are no good investment opportunities in the US, Buffett has started to invest overseas. In fact, in the past, Buffett had made large-scale investments in the Asia-Pacific region.

近日 92 歲高齡的巴菲特到訪日本,並針對美國銀行危機、投資日本等熱點話題做出了回應。

銀行危機:還沒有度過銀行倒閉潮,但儲户不會遇到危機;

銀行股持倉:拋售銀行股並非是對該行業有負面看法,只是對銀行板塊的情緒在降温,仍然青睞美國銀行;

打算增加對日本股票的投資,已經將其對五大商社的持股比例提升至 7.4%,並表示這是伯克希爾在美國以外的最大投資,計劃持有這些投資 10-20 年;

儘管在去年四季度大幅減持台積電,但仍認為台積電在半導體領域創造壓倒性利潤的大企業,經營狀況也很好。

巴菲特曾多次表示,自己過往的生涯是抓住了美國成功的機會,美國的國運是其投資業績成功的基礎。

但近年來巴菲特頻頻在股東大會上表示缺乏良好的投資機會,伯克希爾賬上持有了大量現金,美股這輛飛馳的列車或許對巴菲特而言太貴了。

從伯克希爾整體的持倉行業分佈來看,巴菲特也在積極擁抱變化。一直到 2019 年底伯克希爾重倉股中金融行業的市值佔比還穩居首位,但近兩年隨着信息技術的市值佔比進一步擴大,尤其是頭號持股蘋果,2022 年科技的持股佔比已經達到 45%,超越金融(27%),隨後才是消費板塊(12%)。

另外值得注意的是,巴菲特自去年以來不斷加大對西方石油的押注,使得整體持倉中能源股的佔比也有明顯提升。

既然美國本土沒有好的投資機會,巴菲特開始進軍海外,實際上過去巴菲特也曾有過大手筆佈局亞太的投資。