Affected by oil prices and PPI, bond traders have lost confidence in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut outlook for 2026

华尔街见闻
2026.03.18 14:54
随着中东战事推高油价，以及美国通胀指标涨幅超出预期，债券交易员对美联储今年哪怕仅有一次降息的概率预期也在不断降低。3 月 18 日公布的美国 2 月生产者价格指数（PPI）显示，其涨幅超过了经济学家的预期。这一数据可能会影响美联储决策者，他们在去年 12 月的季度预测中曾预计今年将有一次 25 个基点的降息。“居高不下的美国通胀背景让美联储几乎没有空间去 ‘忽略’ 石油冲击，这使得天平向减少宽松政策倾斜，” Brown Brothers Harriman 全球市场策略主管 Elias Haddad 表示。
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