The AI revolution is just 2 to 3 years away, and this big shot has made it very clear: it may be very brutal, and people need to be prepared

Wallstreetcn
2025.01.23 07:18
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Anthropic CEO Dario stated that in the next 2-3 years, AI will surpass humans, but the harsh reality is that people do not yet have a comprehensive response strategy. People can prepare by learning to use AI and developing critical thinking skills. Additionally, there will be employment impacts, and a purely free market mechanism could be very harsh, while AI may ultimately surpass humans in various aspects

As AI develops at an astonishing pace, surpassing human intelligence seems to be just around the corner. How should humanity respond to this situation? What impact will AI have on the labor force?

Although OpenAI's Altman has repeatedly hinted that the era of super AI is approaching, it has not stirred much of a ripple in the market and tech circles. However, recently, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei made a statement in a media interview that AI will fully surpass humans in the next 2-3 years, which has shocked the entire industry.

Dario Amodei is the co-founder and CEO of Anthropic and a well-known expert in the field of artificial intelligence. He has previously joined Google's DeepMind team and OpenAI, and he is more restrained and sincere than Altman. After a period of silence online, this industry leader suddenly emerged and threw out a series of significant predictions about the future of AI.

In the interview, Dario stated that AI will surpass humans in the next 2-3 years, but the harsh reality is that humanity does not yet have a comprehensive response plan:

In the past few months, I have increasingly realized that we face an urgent task: to make the whole world aware of what is about to happen, as it will affect everyone. We have begun to think about how to address this challenge in both the short and long term to ensure that we can all transition smoothly.

However, what shocks me is that in the AI research community, this sense of urgency has begun to become a "common sense," but when we step outside this circle, the situation is completely different. I worry that if people suddenly realize the impact of AI, whether through a product or a series of safety incidents, it could lead to chaos rather than a thoughtful response.

Therefore, I continuously remind everyone through this interview and other opportunities: we may only have two to three years to prepare, and I hope people can realize this. Of course, this will also raise some questions, such as economic transformation plans and risk response strategies.

We are already researching these issues, but as a startup, our capabilities are limited. Our goal is to find the best solutions possible. Some things are beyond our control, such as market mechanisms, but we will still strive to lead the trend, set an example, maximize advantages, and mitigate disadvantages as much as possible within the framework of corporate ecology and government regulation.

So, what else can humanity do to prepare? Dario stated:

Yesterday someone asked me, if we were to raise children, what should we teach them? My answer has two parts: First, learning how to use AI is key to adapting to the future;

Second, cultivating critical thinking skills. As AI increasingly takes on tasks of rational thinking, we may be misled by reasoning that seems persuasive but has subtle flaws. Even scientists find it difficult to detect subtle issues in AI-generated content. Therefore, cultivating critical thinking is crucial.

On the other hand, people will also face the impact on employment, Dario reminded:

We not only need to be aware of the impact of AI but also consider the issue of workforce displacement. The pure free market mechanism can be very harsh, and AI may ultimately surpass humans in various aspects.

Therefore, we need to engage in a broader social dialogue to explore how to address this challenge. At the same time, can we design more complementary products instead of completely replacing humans? Can companies advance technology in a gentler way, allowing people more time to adapt? Can we formulate effective government policies to address these issues?