The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25bp or 50bp this week is evenly matched
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According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 48%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 52%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a total of 50 basis points by November is 30.2%, by 75 basis points is 50.5%, and by 100 basis points is 19.3%
According to CME's "Fed Watch" data on September 16th, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 48%, while the probability of a 50 basis points cut is 52%. The probability of the Fed cutting a total of 50 basis points by November is 30.2%, 75 basis points is 50.5%, and 100 basis points is 19.3%